|
Interview: Dr. Srikumar Banerjee
Nuclear Fission: Humanity Is Missing Out on a Good Opportunity
19 September 2014
"Dr. Banerjee gave this interview to EIR, at the Aug. 25-29, 2014 Pacific Basin Nuclear Conference in Vancouver, Canada. [1]"
EIR: Dr. Banerjee, at the Pacific Basin Nuclear Conference here in Vancouver, B.C. today, you gave the luncheon lecture in honor of Dr. Wilfred Bennett Lewis. You are the Homi Bhabha Chair Professor at the Bhabha Atomic Research Centre in India. In your lecture, you said that these two people—Dr. Homi Bhabha from India and Dr. Wilfred Bennett Lewis from Canada—are the people most responsible for the development of the Heavy Water Pressurized Reactor (HWPR), also known in Canada as the CANDU reactor. Could you tell us something about who these two people were and what they did? Dr. Srikumar Banerjee: For me, Dr. Bhabha was definitely the main architect of the Indian nuclear program. I mentioned in my lecture that he and Lewis were together at the Cavendish Laboratory. Then Homi Bhabha came back to India, just before the war, and stayed on; although he came for a vacation, he could not go back to Europe. Then he continued his work on physics, and later he got involved in the development of the atomic energy program in the country. He was a great scientist. He was a good artist. He had a tremendous taste in architecture. And the most important of his contributions was in building great scientific institutions. At that time, of course, it was just after the Second World War, when Bhabha and Lewis were thinking of the prospect of nuclear energy, primarily nuclear fission energy. Both of them also talked about fusion, but the emphasis was on fission, which was almost realized at that time as a deployable source for electricity generation. Their concern was, how to control the way of doing it on a commercial scale, and getting the energy solution for the world. Both Lewis and Bhabha put a big emphasis on the issue of sustainability of nuclear energy. It is not often stressed, but if you are only taking into account the uranium 235 as the fissile isotope, and that’s the only fissionable isotope available in nature, then nuclear energy’s life will not be very long. With the global increase in demand for energy, uranium-235 will get exhausted very quickly. Of course, I am not taking into account the large uranium reserves in seawater. But extracting uranium from seawater and exploiting that energy is perhaps a bigger challenge than something which is competitive, even with fusion. But if you take the fertile isotopes into account, uranium 238 and thorium 232, then we have really an inexhaustible form of energy in nuclear fission. Early in this period, both Bhabha and Lewis realized that, and have emphasized this point in their papers. Nuclear Is Declining in the West EIR: At the conference today, it was mentioned that there are presently 72 new nuclear reactors under construction in the world today. However, it is notable that almost two thirds of these new reactors are being built in just a handful of countries, namely, the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) and Argentina. Do you have any thoughts on why one part of the world would be undergoing this kind of development, which largely does not exist in the rest of the world? Banerjee: You see, it is due to the development aspiration in a large part of the world. In places like Canada, the United States, and Western Europe, energy demand is not growing! And it will not grow in the foreseeable future. The reason is the population in these places has stabilized and in some cases is slightly declining. Per capita energy consumption has reached a level of saturation; machinery and buildings are becoming much more energy efficient. I am often asked this question: When Germany is gradually reducing the contribution of nuclear energy and finally has a plan to abandon it, why in India are we talking of expansion in the nuclear contribution? The point is, one cannot compare the situations in Germany and India. If you look at the German situation for the last ten years, if I am not incorrect, there is a decline in the total electricity demand in Germany, whereas in India, total electricity consumption has more than doubled during this period. Germany also has the option of imports of a lot of energy, from France, from the Czech Republic—they are nuclear. So one can manage the total supply; particularly, supplying the base load. Solar and wind energy have a very important role to play and nobody should neglect them. They have to be exploited to the fullest extent. But the point is, even if you exploit them to the fullest extent, you cannot meet the base load requirement in countries where the growth in demand for energy is phenomenal. In India, in the last six to seven years, total energy production has doubled. Even now there is a big scarcity. I just showed in my presentation, that from today to 2032, another 18 years, the total electricity production has to increase four times to sustain an economic growth of 8-9%. But if all the additional capacity is built on the basis of thermal power, we will be generating 3 to 4 billion tons more of CO2 annually. A major part of the coal needs to be imported, as Indian coal has about 40% ash. We must, therefore, increase the share of primary energy sources, namely, solar, wind, and nuclear, substantially, though thermal power will continue to dominate in the immediate future. In China today, of the total electricity, only 2.1% is nuclear. But the expansion programs in nuclear, solar, and wind are quite impressive. EIR: China is now building 27 new nuclear reactors, which sounds like a lot. But, if you ask how many new nuclear plants they are building per capita; that drops it dramatically. Banerjee: Yes. And then you have to see how much nuclear is going to contribute. Even for China: They will still be depending on coal burning to a substantial extent. India also cannot avoid it. EIR: Something like 79% of China’s electricity production comes from coal. Banerjee: Growth in electricity consumption cannot be slowed down. It is the most essential ingredient for development. It is not in the domain of luxury. Consumption is 700 kilowatt-hours per capita in India, which is one-fourth of the world average. This is what is available for everything. Electricity is needed for transportation, education, health care, agriculture, and industry, and each of these sectors is growing rapidly. Such growth scenarios are not there in countries where these basic needs have been grossly met. As far as other forms of primary energy are concerned, India is rapidly expanding the installed capacity in wind and solar. But one cannot exceed the capacity factor beyond 25%. The Sun does not shine all the time. Neither does the wind blow. What is the implication of that? Say you need 100 megawatts. But, if the capacity factor is 25%, you have to install 400 MW and also have suitable means of storage. EIR: At the conference today, the share of nuclear power in electricity generation by 2030 was actually projected to go down, which is an alarming trend. If there were a significant increase in demand for new nuclear plants, would there be enough capacity to build them? Banerjee: The big damage which has been done worldwide is to the supply chain. The manufacturing places are now extremely few, for example, for the light water reactors, which are, I would say, the fastest to construct. EIR: The pressure vessels. Banerjee: Pressure vessel manufacturing is now available only in a limited number of countries—Japan, Korea, China, and Russia. India still doesn’t have it, but we have a plan to enter into that. Steelmaking in India is reasonably good; also, the forging and making the large welded vessels of specialty steels. These technologies are available. A joint venture company is set up which can take up manufacturing of nuclear pressure vessels, and Indian industries have the capability of making many critical components of nuclear reactors.
“It is very easy to debate on this in the comfort of an air conditioned room ,” said Dr. Banerjee. “But if you have a really cold Winter in Europe or America, then you realize the importance of power.”
|