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Comment on Arbatov
by Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr.
2 April 2010
The attached report on a presentation by Arbatov, is prompted by the fact of the fallacy of composition central to the misleading argument which he presents there. The weakness in the Russian defense capability, which that report alleges, is, if most emphatically, a reflection of the destruction of the present economy of post-Soviet Russia under the destructive influences on Russia’s physical-economic capabilities which find their essential root in the British corruption of Russian scientific thinking radiated from the Bertrand Russell school of "systems analysis" channeled as a subversive current through the work of IIASA. In present-day terms, that is the corruption of Russia’s economy today by influences channeled, presently,through channels typified by Gorbachev and Chubais. The historic relevance of the post-Soviet effects of the ideology of the likes of Bertrand Russell, as I encountered this earlier in the poisonous incompetence of the ideology met at IASA and The Club of Rome, is that the military conditions created by Winston Churchill’s launching of the so-called "Cold War," forced the Soviet Union to concentrate on advanced technologies and heavy industry, and to reject the dice-casting methods of the scientifically absurd economic policies to be witnessed in the influence of Gorbachev, Chubais, et al., in Russian policy-shaping circles today. In any case, as long as President Barack Obama were still President of the U.S.A., the U.S.A. economy is already doomed to an earlier disintegration, together with the British imperialist Inter-Alpha international group which is already essentially bankrupt beyond redemption. The greatest breakdown-crisis in all modern history is presently fully underway, and that globally, most immediately in the trans-Atlantic regions. If Russia continued the policies of Chubais et al., it would be already doomed. That is what should be Arbatov’s concern at this time. The report to which I make reference here, was as follows: April 1, 2010—Speaking at a forum today in Washington sponsored by the Carnegie Foundation for International Peace, Alexei Arbatov, a scholar at the Moscow Center of the Carnegie Foundation and a former member of the Russian Duma, underlined the significance of the recent nuclear arms agreement between the U.S. and Russia, characterizing it in the same words as Vice President Biden used, without quoting Biden, in regard to the health care deal, a "big fucking deal." "Most importantly this agreement represents the establishment of a new framework of bilateral relations that hasn’t existed since 1991," Arbatov said, referring to the signing of the START I agreement. Needless, to say the British and their friends in Russia will try to blow this out of the water. Arbatov said that the treaty would be met with stiff opposition in the Russian Duma. In Russia, he said, "the campaign has already started." With the growing distrust of the United States, Arbatov explained, engendered by NATO expansion to the very borders of Russia and the U.S. superiority in long-range guidance systems, nuclear weapons have come to be seen by Russian planners as the "great equalizer." The new Russian military doctrine also underlines the importance of the nuclear capability, Arbatov said. While the treaty places limits on both sides’ nuclear warheads, it does not preclude modernization of the nuclear weapons permitted under the treaty, and that modernization is taking place," he said. In addition, given that the treaty places no restrictions on the deployment of U.S. BMD systems, such a deployment of missile defense still causes great trepidation in Moscow. Regarding the possibility of a US-Russian agreement on BMD, Arbatov was sceptical. "Cooperation on ballistic missile defense is the most important issue," Arbatov underlined. "But it implies a military alliance. Now we are quite some distance from that kind of relationship." He suggested as a first step, the U.S. should Prime Minister Putin’s proposal for a joint data center to monitor missile launches worldwide, and that the data be made to operate in real time. He also encouraged U.S. officials to turn to Prime Minister Putin for help in mobilizing Duma support for the strategic arms treaty. "Putin is more important in this respect than even Medvedev," Arbatov said. "He is the prime minister and thus head of his Duma party and could play a key role. As of yet, he has not expressed himself on the treaty." Arbatov also indicated that the other concern that Russia would have regarding a US-Russian BMD agreement would be the reaction of China. "China today plays a very important role in Russian decision-making. And their reaction has a great impact on Russia." He suggested that the U.S. should also begin to regard China as a great power also in this respect. "Both the U.S. and Russia should independently approach China with the possibility of building a missile defense system." Arbatov said." They should be involved in such a discussion." |